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WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE
APR 14, 2023
Weekly Market Update - Friday, April 14, 2023
Welcome to our Weekly Market Update.* Explore weekly crypto price movements, read a quick digest of notable market news, and dive into a crypto topic — this week we discuss the two main blockchain consensus mechanisms: Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS).
Crypto Movers This Week
Crypto News: What Happened This Week?
Crypto Topic of the Week: Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS)
Crypto Movers This Week (7D)
Bitcoin (BTC) Price | ⬆️ 8.39% | $30,305
Ether (ETH) Price | ⬆️ 10.60% | $2,063
Injective (INJ) Price | ⬆️ 45.30% | $8.265
Ethernity Chain (ERN) Price| ⬆️ 45% | $2.541
Render Token (RNDR) Price | ⬆️ 30.70% | $1.70
Crypto prices as of Friday, April 14, 2023, at 11:50am ET. Percentages reflect trends over the past seven days. Check out the latest crypto prices here. All prices in USD.
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Crypto News: What Happened This Week?
Takeaways
The Ethereum Network implemented the Shapella upgrade on Wednesday, giving ether (ETH) stakers the ability to withdraw their crypto for the first time. ETH reached a new eight-month high despite concerns around potential ETH supply coming onto the market, trading above the $2,100 USD level. Render Network benefitted from the increased interest in Artificial Intelligence (AI), with its RNDR token trading up ~30% this week.
U.S. inflation came in a touch softer than expectations and continued to trend lower in March, but more interest rate hikes could still be on the table. Market participants expect a further rate hike in May, with a potential shift in policy coming in June.
Crypto Prices Continue to Show Strength
Ether (ETH) and bitcoin (BTC) continued to rally higher this week, with ETH breaking through the $2,000 USD level and BTC briefly hitting ~$31K USD. This is a continuation of the positive price movement we’ve seen over the past few weeks, with investors looking toward the possibility of monetary policy easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve as early as the second half of the year.
Following Ethereum’s Shapella upgrade, there was no dip in ETH prices as some had predicted. The upgrade was successful and as planned, which could have helped send ETH rallying through the $2,000 USD resistance level. The ETHBTC pair rallied from 0.062 lows on Wednesday to 0.066 after the upgrade, and surpassed 0.068 by Friday.
Ethereum’s Shapella Upgrade Goes Live in a Smooth Transition
Ethereum's long-awaited Shapella upgrade went live around 6:30pm ET on Wednesday. This marked the first major update since the Merge and enables users to withdraw their staked ETH as well as optimize gas fees on the network for certain transactions. Despite concerns leading up to the event that the upgrade could bring a wave of withdrawals causing a flood of ETH supply, the price of ETH held above the $1,900 USD mark and has since pushed higher to briefly break the $2,100 USD level for the first time in almost a year.
As of Friday morning, pending withdrawals of staked ETH from Ethereum surpassed 1.13M ETH (~$2.38bn USD). However, given there are limitations on the amount of ETH that can be withdrawn at one time, the market is less likely to see supply hitting all at once.
As expected, Kraken made up a large proportion of initial ETH withdrawal requests following the upgrade. In February, Kraken agreed to shut down its staking program in the U.S. and pay a $30M USD fine as part of a settlement with the SEC. Kraken confirmed before the Shapella upgrade that all the locked ETH on the platform from U.S. clients would automatically enter the unstaking process once the upgrade went live. On Friday morning, data from Nansen Query showed that ETH staked through Kraken made up over 60% of the exit queue of validators moving to unstake.
Inflation Dips Again But Uncertainty Remains
On Wednesday, U.S. inflation data showed that the headline consumer price index (CPI) came in at 5% YoY for March, lower than the expected 5.2%, reaching its lowest level since May 2021. The core CPI came in at 5.6% YoY matching expectations.
Equity markets and crypto initially rallied on the news, but prices pulled back later in the day after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)’s March meeting minutes were released.
The minutes revealed that further rate hikes have not been ruled out and it is likely that the economy would slide into recession later this year as a result of the fallout from the U.S banking crisis. On Friday morning, market participants were pricing in an 82% chance of another 25bps rate hike in May, with many expecting that to be the last increase before a policy pivot and rate cuts by the end of the year.
AI Buzz Enters Crypto World
Render Network (RNDR), a provider of decentralized graphics processing unit (GPU) rendering out-performed this week, trading up ~30%. The surge in interest around AI, along with increased demand and supply shortages in GPUs have brought more attention to RNDR this year.
On Monday, Jules Urbach the founder and CEO of Render, tweeted “RNDR has a massive supply of high-density GPU power to power AI inference.” Render's ability to provide some of this much-needed supply, its integration with Apple earlier in the year, and the surging AI narrative could have played a role in RNDR gaining +300% since the start of the year.
-From the Gemini Trading Desk
Crypto Topic of the Week: Consensus Mechanisms — Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS)
Blockchain networks can vary considerably in their design, particularly with regard to the consensus mechanisms used to perform the essential task of verifying network data. The most common consensus mechanisms are Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS). Each design has different implications for the underlying blockchain’s security, accessibility, and energy consumption.
This week, amidst all the news around Ethereum staking and bitcoin (BTC)’s continued rise, we touch on one of the major differences between the two leading blockchains — consensus mechanisms — and explore PoW and PoS.
Consensus Mechanisms in Crypto
A consensus mechanism is the process through which a distributed network reaches an agreement about information on the network — for example, whether transactions are valid and in what order they occur. Consensus mechanisms also play a key role in securing blockchain networks.
Most public blockchain networks today use processes referred to as Proof of Work (PoW) or Proof of Stake (PoS) to provide consensus.
Proof-of-Work (PoW) Blockchains
The PoW consensus mechanism was popularized first by Bitcoin, and has played a foundational role in the crypto ecosystem.
How PoW blockchains work. Among the defining components of PoW systems are miners and the energy they use to make calculations that verify transactions. Miners operate computer hardware to run network nodes that employ computational power to algorithmically solve mathematical puzzles called proofs of work.
The miner who solves the puzzle first confirms the most recent block of transactions on the blockchain, and broadcasts the new block to all other nodes. Other nodes confirm the accuracy of the block and add it to their copy of the blockchain, building a verifiable record of network data. This verification process represents consensus, and only once this data is confirmed can a new block be added to the network.
Miners receive newly minted crypto, the block reward, (in the case of Bitcoin, they receive BTC) for being the first to validate a new block of data and add it to the PoW blockchain.
Despite some limitations related to speed and scalability, PoW blockchains have historically provided strong security, while maintaining meaningful decentralization. Since PoW systems are distributed, it is usually prohibitively expensive for a malicious actor to take over the blockchain by controlling the majority of computing power on the network. The hardware, electricity, and computational costs are typically too high to surmount.
Learn more about how PoW plays into network security here.
Proof-of-Stake (PoS) Blockchains
PoS has been in the news recently, with Ethereum’s transition from PoW to PoS being followed by various high-profile network upgrades, including Shapella this week.
Current industry-leading blockchains that use PoS in whole or in part include Polkadot, Avalanche, Cardano, Cosmos, Solana, and Ethereum.
How PoS blockchains work. Instead of miners validating transactions, PoS blockchains use validators. Validators are network node operators that validate data, similarly to PoW systems, but without the energy-intensive computational process to earn the right to validate.
Instead of working to solve proofs of work, validators “stake” a blockchain’s native tokens in a bid to become eligible for selection as a validator node. A prospective validator on a PoS blockchain will essentially stake crypto tokens to serve as collateral. When it comes time to validate data held in a transaction block, the PoS system randomly selects a validator to confirm the data.
When the block is confirmed, that validator is typically rewarded with network transaction fees, and the process begins with a new block.
Learn about the variety of different PoS consensus mechanisms here.
PoS blockchains keep blockchain networks secure and validators honest by requiring validators to stake their tokens. If validators act maliciously or incompetently, they may lose their staked tokens and access to the network through a process typically called “slashing.” This incentive structure ensures that validators have more to gain from being an honest actor than by breaking the rules.
The barrier to entry to PoS blockchains for validators is arguably lower than with PoW for miners, though a sufficient amount of crypto to stake is still required for PoS validators.
Innovation is a constant in the crypto industry, and so it’s no surprise that various other consensus mechanisms have been developed beyond PoW and PoS. Explore the variety of different blockchain consensus mechanisms here.
See you next week. Onward and Upward!
Team Gemini
*This material is for informational purposes only and is not (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, (ii) intended to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) an official statement of Gemini. Gemini, its affiliates and its employees do not make any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to accuracy or completeness of the information or any other information transmitted or made available. Buying, selling, and trading cryptocurrency involves risks, including the risk of losing all of the invested amount. Recipients should consult their advisors before making any investment decision. Any use, review, retransmission, distribution, or reproduction of these materials, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited in any form without the express written approval of Gemini.
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