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AUG 18, 2023

Weekly Market Update - Friday, August 18, 2023 - Crypto Prices Tumble, Spot Bitcoin ETF Launches in the EU, The Sandbox Completes $100 Million Token Unlock

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Welcome to our Weekly Market Update.* Explore weekly crypto price movements, read a quick digest of notable market news, and dive into a crypto topic — this week we explore cross-chain interoperability.

Crypto Movers
Crypto News
BitcoinBuzz Indicator
Topic of the Week

Frame 1

TokenChange*Price**
Bitcoin

BTC

-11.30 $26,069
$26,069 -11.30%
Ether

ETH

-9.95% $1,662
$1,662 -9.95%
Litecoin

LTC

-22.30% $64.61
$64.61 -22.30%
Compound

COMP

-24.30% $42.58
$42.58 -24.30%
Orchid

OXT

-34.50% $0.05453
$0.05453 -34.50%

*Percentages reflect trends over the past seven days.
**Crypto prices as of Friday, August 18, 2023, at 12:05pm ET. Check out the latest crypto prices here. All prices in USD.

Frame 2

Takeaways

  • Crypto prices tumble as negative news and liquidations hit market: Bitcoin moved sharply lower this week, dipping well below recent ranges, nearly hitting $25k USD on Thursday before somewhat bouncing back. The downward price action followed a build up of negative news, including a report of large sales of BTC by SpaceX, the bankruptcy of Chinese property giant Evergrande, and a subsequent raft of liquidations in the crypto derivatives market totalling $1 billion USD in 24 hours.
  • EU lists a spot bitcoin ETF, beating US to the punch: A London-based asset manager listed a spot bitcoin ETF on the Amsterdam Euronext stock exchange this week, as US asset managers wait on the SEC for a decision on US-based spot bitcoin ETF applications.
  • Coinbase secures approval to offer crypto futures to US investors: After applying two years ago to the National Futures Association, Coinbase has received approval for a Futures Commission Merchant, which will allow it to offer futures products to US investors.
  • The Sandbox completes $100 million USD token unlock: Other projects including Avalanche (AVAX) and Injective (INJ) also have token unlocks coming later in August.
  • Equities dip as China’s economic woes weigh on markets: Equities dipped along with crypto markets this week, with the economic news coming out of China showing a cloudy outlook for the country as it slips into a deflationary period.

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Crypto Prices Tumble Amid a Confluence of Negative News and Liquidations

After trading in a tight range between $29k-$30k USD for the past month, bitcoin (BTC) broke below the $29k USD support level hitting $28.3k USD on Wednesday evening. A day later, prices tumbled even further, dropping from $27.5k USD to near $25k USD in minutes, before bouncing back and consolidating around $26.2k USD by Friday morning.

The sudden drop followed a Wall Street Journal report suggesting that Elon Musk’s SpaceX sold a chunk of BTC and wrote off BTC holdings from 2021 and 2022, and Chinese property giant Evergrande’s chapter 15 bankruptcy filing in New York. Beyond the confluence of negative news, analysts are pointing to market structure and a flood of liquidations as a cause of BTC’s recent slide. Over $1 billion USD in crypto derivatives market liquidations were reported across exchanges within 24 hours, according to Coinglass.

The downside move earlier in the week (Wednesday) followed the release of the Federal Reserve’s July FOMC meeting minutes which suggested the potential for more interest rate hikes, with crypto prices shifting lower along with equities on the prospect. Nevertheless, the market is expecting the Fed to keep interest rates steady at its next meeting in September.

EU Welcomes Spot Bitcoin ETF Listed in Amsterdam

The first-ever EU-based spot Bitcoin ETF launched on Amsterdam’s Euronext exchange this week. The Jacobi FT Wilshere Bitcoin ETF (BCOIN) was listed by London-based Jacobi Asset Management, which is regulated by the Guernsey Financial Services Commission (GFSC).

The news comes as US asset managers have filed numerous applications for bitcoin and ether ETFs over the past years, with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission yet to approve any of them.

Coinbase Secures Approval to Offer Crypto Futures in US

Coinbase announced on Wednesday that it has approval from the National Futures Association (NFA) to operate a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), after applying in 2021. The approval will allow Coinbase to offer crypto futures to eligible US customers. Shares of Coinbase (COIN) initially rose over 5% before markets opened on Wednesday following the news, but has since retraced the move.

The Sandbox (SAND) Completes $100 Million USD Token Unlock

August will see numerous projects complete sizable token unlocks. On Monday, metaverse platform The Sandbox (SAND) unlocked 332 million tokens, which equated to ~16% of the current circulating supply and amounted to ~$100 million USD. The unlocked tokens were split between the team, advisors, company reserves, strategic sale buyers and seed sale participants. The price of SAND is down ~18% over the past 7 days, and down ~25% over the past month, as of Friday morning.

Avalanche (AVAX), and Injective Protocol (INJ) are set to have token unlocks in the second half of August too, although a much smaller percentage of circulating supply when compared to The Sandbox at 2.76% and 3.41% respectively.

Equities Continue to Struggle as China’s Economic Woes Weigh on Global Markets

Equity markets continued to sell off this week, with the S&P 500 down over 4.5% this month, exacerbating an already gloomy August for stocks.

China’s economic woes have put pressure on global markets as the country has struggled to produce the strong recovery expected following extended COVID lockdowns. Exports were down 14.5% in July year-over-year, manufacturing activity has contracted the past four months, the property sector remains a serious concern, and it emerged last week that China has now entered a deflationary period.

-From the Gemini Trading Desk

BTCBuzz bar new 81824

BitcoinBuzz data as of 5:00pm ET on August 17, 2023.

To learn more about the BitcoinBuzz Indicator and its components, read our introduction here. Check back every Friday for an updated score!

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An Introduction to Cross-Chain Interoperability

The concept of “blockchain interoperability” refers to the ability for different blockchain networks to exchange and leverage data between one another and move unique types of digital assets between the networks’ respective blockchains.

In an interoperable system, disparate blockchain networks and assets can easily plug into and be combined with one another. This network interoperability can allow for the creation of powerful new products and services that leverage the benefits of multiple blockchain networks simultaneously.

Benefits of Blockchain Interoperability

While there already exist impressive and diverse blockchain ecosystems contained within individual networks like Ethereum, Polkadot, and Solana, the ability for such different networks to interact meaningfully with one another — referred to as interoperability — is expected to enable a wide range of blockchain-enabled products and services. These include:

Customizable Web3 services: The ability for blockchain protocols and applications to mix and match different “lego pieces” is key to creating entirely new Web3 instruments and platforms that aren’t possible with legacy industries and business models of the Web2 era. Many experts argue that interoperable smart contracts could supercharge industries like healthcare, law, or real estate, for instance by allowing important business information to be sent back and forth between private networks and public networks in a customizable and controllable manner.

A more decentralized ecosystem: While pure decentralization within individual blockchain networks is a top priority for many blockchain projects, the ability to establish network interoperability across multiple blockchains presents an even more advanced embodiment of blockchain technology’s promise to decentralize systems and economies.

Enhanced cross-industry collaboration: Blockchain technology has a wide range of industry-specific use cases, but ultimately the primary benefits come down to data transparency and verifiability, smart contract execution, and decentralized consensus. Once blockchains used by different organizations and industries are able to interact with one another, independent markets and business applications that were previously considered entirely separate will be able to more easily transfer data and value.

How Is Blockchain Interoperability Achieved?

There are a variety of tools that are increasing the level of interoperability between blockchain networks:

Sidechains: A type of Layer-2 platform, sidechains are separate blockchain networks that are compatible with a single mainchain. Each sidechain has its own consensus mechanism, security parameters, and tokens. These sidechains generally have their own specific use cases that are distributed accordingly in order to improve the overall ecosystem’s processing efficiency and self-sovereignty. Several major crypto projects such as Polkadot and Cosmos were designed from the ground up to be comprehensive cross-chain infrastructure solutions, with the ultimate goal being to establish an interoperable “network of networks.”

Oracles: Within the context of blockchain technology, oracles bridge the information gap between on-chain and off-chain environments. Decentralized oracle services like Chainlink and API3 play a crucial role in feeding off-chain data to blockchain-enabled smart contracts and contribute to blockchain interoperability by ensuring that different ecosystems are referring to a common source of truth.

Bridges and swaps: Cross-chain bridges enable a digital asset owned by a party to be locked on one chain while an identical asset is “minted” on another chain and sent to an address owned by the original owner. In contrast, atomic swaps enable users to exchange tokens from different blockchain networks in a decentralized manner. Both are automatically enabled through the use of smart contracts and play a central role in facilitating seamless cross-chain value transfers.

See you next week. Onward and Upward!

Team Gemini

*This material is for informational purposes only and is not (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, (ii) intended to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) an official statement of Gemini. Gemini, its affiliates and its employees do not make any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to accuracy or completeness of the information or any other information transmitted or made available. Buying, selling, and trading cryptocurrency involves risks, including the risk of losing all of the invested amount. Recipients should consult their advisors before making any investment decision. Any use, review, retransmission, distribution, or reproduction of these materials, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited in any form without the express written approval of Gemini.

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